As readers of my Blog know, there has been very, very little help provided by any government programs that theoretically are to help troubled homeowners keep their homes.  Even less help has been provided by the lenders.  The original Hope For Homeowners program failed to get lender cooperation. This was followed last year with the Home Affordable Mortgage Program (”HAMP”) which also has failed to deliver any substantial help to upside down borrowers.  And now, effective April 5th, the government will open their newest program, the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives Program (”HAFA”).  Significantly, this Program is being introduced as a part of the HAMP program but it has nothing to do with helping people keep their homes. Rather, it is designed to assist lenders in getting the existing owners out through a short sale or deed in lieu of foreclosure. 

The sad reality of HAFA is that it effectively gives the lenders what they wanted… a politically correct reason to deny modifications (which they don’t want to do) and a faster way of getting the existing owners out (which they do want to do). So, for upside-down owners, there’s no help in HAFA.  But for our economy, the results may be even worse.

Today’s real estate market, especially in California, is operating on an artificial economy.  The lenders are holding back putting all of their foreclosed properties on the market. This keeps the supply down and keeps prices up.  The lenders could put more properties on the market but that increase in supply would cause prices to fall since demand by buyers is not growing. The result of this is that the lenders have been slowing down the foreclosure process so they don’t get more properties that they’ll just hold back.  But since all of these must eventually get sold, this means that it will be many years before our real estate economy is not driven by the lender’s inventory of foreclosed homes. And, thanks to HAFA, it may now get much worse.

Under the rules of HAFA, all lenders that participate in the HAMP program must participate in HAFA. This means that if a lender denies a homeowner a modification under HAMP or the modification fails or is not accepted, the lender must offer the homeowner a short sale or a deed in lieu of foreclosure and our government (we the taxpayers) will pay the lenders and borrowers to participate.  This will speed up the change of ownership.  But what will be the effect on the already over-supplied real estate economy?

According to the lending industry information service, Mortgage News Daily, as of the end of 2009, only 4.3% of all HAMP modifications resulted in permanent loan modifications. Over a million trial modifications are in process. Unless the permanent modification numbers increase dramatically, we could be facing an additional 950,000 short sales and foreclosures coming on the market.  This would be a disaster as these get added to the already over-supply driving down the values of property. Existing buyers, investors, and lenders would be scared away from an unstable market and the problems in the economy would become even worse.

Is there any solution?  Well if the objective is to help people keep their homes through loan modification, then there needs to be a way to compel lenders to reduce principal amounts owed. If lenders continue to refuse, then Congress should pass the Chapter 13 Bankruptcy Reform which the Senate shut down last year. Alternatively, compel lenders (particularly BofA) to waive deficiency recourse so that everyone can move on.

Sadly, there remained no Hope for Homeowners in that program and Making Home Affordable has not made homes more affordable. HAFA gives up on the hope of helping owners stay and instead will only help owners go. Unfortunately, this may hurt us all.

If you have any questions concerning your rights and obligations concerning real property, foreclosure, or any related issues, please feel free to contact me at sjbeede@bpelaw.com or contact my office at 916 966-2260 for a confidential appointment by phone or in person.